Heading into the week ahead, our major focus is on shorting the bounce. 

Our sell signals are printing across most of the market. Our bearish watchlist includes names like the S&P 500, Nasdaq (QQQ), semiconductors, financials, industrials, transports, etc.

 

 

When there is bearish structure across most of the market, the easiest short position usually tends to be on the SPY or SPX.

In this video, we’ll break down the SPX short setup we’re focusing on, review sectors on our bearish focused list, and discuss the few bullish names setting up.

Stay Focused!

 

Technology giants reported earnings this week. They failed to do the market any favors in shifting the current bearish structure. 

AMZN saw a 10 percent gap lower at the open (as shown below). This drop set the tone for another day of steady selling pressure through much of the market.

 

 

After running the scans and updating our watchlist on Friday post-close, it’s safe to say the short side of the market is likely to present the most opportunity. 

However, it’s hard to want to heavily short the markets as they are oversold and due for a bounce. Preferably at -2 average true ranges (ATR), we are taking profits on our shorts and not opening new shorts.

So, where do we want to short the setups on our watchlist? 

We want to enter our positions as close to the daily 21 exponential moving average (EMA) as possible. 

That’s the execution on every short we take. Short at the 21 EMA, take profits on the flush into -2 ATR (or cut the trade loose on a move above our exit), and rinse and repeat.

Almost every sector in the market, along with the indices, is printing our sell signals. These sectors include XLK, XLF, SMH, XLI, IYT, etc. 

When this happens, we tend to focus mainly on shorting the SPX itself instead of individual stocks.

It’s a simple game plan, but it’s one we’ll continue putting to work until things change. 

For the S&P 500 (SPX), we’ll look for our opportunity to enter a short on any rally into $4,350 with a downside target of $4,100.

In Sunday’s video, we’ll break down how we’ll look to structure the SPX trade and look at other setups on our focused list. 

Stay Focused!

 

After a week of big technology earnings, the market is taking a much-needed pop. The move higher comes after hitting the low of the year at $4,101.75.

Focus on structure and key zones. The same levels we’ve seen recently are in play.

 

 

Heading into tomorrow, if the S&P 500 (/ES) breaks $4,260 and begins to trend lower, we’ll want to start focusing on the key zone toward $4,181. If the /ES holds $4,260, it would need to get through the key zone at $4,360 to bounce higher.

In this video, we’ll lay out key zones in the market and lay out setups on our focused list like AMZN, AAPL, and ROKU.

Stay Focused!

 

 

Sell signals are flashing across the board from the S&P 500 to the financials and semiconductors. The key is to ensure we’re not chasing the market. 

Instead, we want to focus on the cleanest trends setting up near the 21 exponential moving average (EMA).

In today’s video, we’ll cover bullish names on our watchlist that we’ll look to buy the dip at the 21 EMA.

For the most part, we’ll review our bearish watchlist of names breaking structure on both the weekly and daily charts. These are the spots we’ll look to short on any bounces to the 21 EMA.

Register for free here to sign up for Taylor’s free webinar this Wednesday, April 27th at 7:00 p.m. Central. We’ll discuss the changes in the recent market, the leaders in the better-looking trends, and how Taylor builds out his watchlist based on his buy and sell signals.

Stay Focused!

 

 

 

While most names in the market appear bearish, we need to make sure we pick our spots wisely on the short side.

The S&P 500 (/ES) and Nasdaq (/NQ) are trading at -2 average true ranges (ATR) from the 21 exponential moving average (EMA). We’ll look to short the indexes on a bounce to the 21 EMA.

In the video above, we’ll review our weekly watchlist, recently closed and open positions, and the bullish sectors in an overall bearish market.

Stay Focused!

 

 

This week the overall market continued to trade lower as the structure for most of the market continues to look more bearish. While there are still trends we are pursuing to the upside, like energy, oil, and consumer staples, there are plenty of setups we’re eyeing for shorts.

While we will look to short individual stocks (like we did this week in DASH, NKE, and FDX), looking to short in the indexes is often the “simplest” option. With that being said, we’re going to need to see a bounce in SPY and QQQ before entering a short.

We use Keltner channels, measuring +1 and +2 average true ranges (ATR) above the 21 exponential moving average (EMA), as our upside and downside targets for swing trades. 

The SPY and QQQ are currently trading at -2 ATR on the daily chart, as shown below. This is the spot where we’d look to take profits instead of opening a new short position. When trading at the 2 ATR extension, there’s a growing probability of a move back to the 21 EMA around the corner. Getting short at -2 ATR and sitting through a bounce to the 21 EMA is no fun.

 

 

 

Over the next few weeks, we’ll be waiting for a move into the 21 EMA to open shorts on the SPY or QQQ, with downside targets of -2 ATR.

 

 

Remember that we’re once again in earnings season, so there’s always the potential that earnings from big FANG stocks could shake things up.

In Sunday’s video, we’ll cover more of the bullish and bearish setups we’ll be looking to trade next week in both the Simpler Trading Options Gold room and the Compounding Growth Mastery.

Stay Focused!

 

 

 

Preparation Process

Prepping for the trading session is vital for becoming a successful trader and should become a daily, systematic practice. The goal of prep is to identify stocks with the best setups and opportunities. Once we identify these stocks, we can ignore everything else for the trading session. 

 

Day Trading Prep – by Chandler Horton

For day trading, I recommend only watching a handful of stocks and getting to know how they move and the risk vs. reward they offer. Every stock can present opportunities, so find your favorites and ignore all else for the most part.

Don’t underestimate the power of focus. The trader who chases too many stocks capitalizes on none. You will never catch every move, so make sure you have a reason to be watching a stock!

New names come and go, but make sure you hit the best trades on your focus list! My “ole reliables” are SPX, GOOGL, ROKU, MRNA, and NVDA. Every session, these names offer opportunities, so there’s no need to look much further!

Always start with the big picture for a stock. Understand that not every stock is in a playable range. This is why we have a focus list. As you go through each name, you will find which stock is in a tradable range that offers the best edge! Keep in mind some names need time to set up.

We like to narrow down names near big inflection points and key indicators. This is where strategy is a benefit.

Some stocks have already made big moves and need a pullback.

Some stocks are setting up and about to begin week-long moves.

 

Swing Trading Prep – by Taylor Horton

When I first started trading options, I wasn’t using a scanner. Now it is a part of my daily prep process. Before, I would stay up all night searching through charts that had what I believed was a decent setup. Decent doesn’t cut it.

We have this built-in mindset to grind and look for setups all night. In reality, what we want to look for is efficiency. Using a tool to sift through charts for the best setups eliminates emotions and saves time.

 

 

Above is a list of the scan results from the Simpler Trading scanner. This is your starting point.

70% of the time, I use results from the Focused Scans. 

These are scans designed for my strategy. We have four scans under our Focused Scans: the Bullish Daily Continuation Pro, Bearish Daily Continuation Pro, 3-Day Daily Bullish Continuation Pro, and 3-Day Daily Bearish Continuation Pro.

The rest of the time, I use results from scans like the Growth 250, 10x scans, Daily Pop Candidate, and others included in the Scanner.

I prefer to trade mid to large-cap (capitalization) stocks. To focus on those stocks, I like to sort by Volume (average), with names with the most volume at the top (as shown below).

 

 

When there is more volume, the stock is larger. It has more momentum, and more importantly for an options trader, there is higher liquidity.

I like to show about 50 entries. You can choose to have 10, 25, 50, or 100 entries showing in a list at once. That’s 100 stocks you can automatically sift through in just seconds.

After I run the scans, I will look at each scan’s top 25 to 50 results. The next step in our prep process is running the names through our checklist criteria. This is when we determine which setups “fit the bill” and have actionable opportunities.

This is when you need to have discipline and a trading plan. Remember, the setups that don’t meet every one of our criteria get ignored entirely because they are none of our business.

 

Taylor’s Focused List

Here is a list of my focused list for Friday, April 22, 2022:

• CCJ
• OXY
• XLE
• KR
• COST
• IYT
• XLF

 

Prep with Us

Our job as traders is to know when and why to trade each name! Tune in to the Focused Trades Youtube Channel every Monday, Wednesday, and Friday for live premarket prep with us.

Take your prep to the next level and check out Chandler’s Options Scalping Secrets course here. I explain my strategy for identifying inflection points using simple indicators to catch big scalping moves daily.

Stay Focused!

 

 

After bank earnings last week, we’re starting to get into the gist of earnings season. Technology names are slowly beginning to report this week, including NFLX, ASML, and TSLA. 

Last week was a volatile and short week, as the S&P 500 (/ES) bled into a new zone.

On Monday, the /ES created a new low at $4,355. 

It started to trend up and form a higher low structure. Until the market breaks this structure, we want to focus on this trendline that formed on Monday.

In the video above, we’ll lay out new liquidity levels, identify the latest market trendline, and draw out zones using our favorite indicators.

 

 

Here is our focused list:

NVDA — On Monday, NVDA closed at point of control (POC) at $219. If NVDA can’t get through $219, look to short the stock down to the key zone from $209 to $206. Our next targets are below from $200 to $195. If NVDA pops at $219, look for it to fill the gap from $226 to $230. Pay attention to how tech earnings go.

SHOP — Could rally to POC at $605. Look to short SHOP when it reaches POC. If it breaks above $605, look for a pop to $630.

GOOGL — If GOOGL breaks its premarket low at $2,520, it could drop to the inflection point at $2,490. This level could become a nice dip buy opportunity to POC at $2,600.

Stay Focused!

 

 

 

We have a busy but short week ahead of the holiday Easter weekend.

On Tuesday morning, the consumer price index (CPI) report is released, which is the start of our catalysts this week.

Premarket on Thursday, there are a number of bank and semiconductor chip names reporting. Also look out for the retail sales numbers to see if it could move this volatile market.

The S&P 500 (/ES) was sitting in a major key zone from the March Ichimoku Cloud top at $4,510 and the April Ichimoku Cloud top from $4,455. This is our line in the sand and the biggest zone we’ll be focusing on.

Here is our focused list:

SHOP — Proposed a 10:1 stock split, SHOP hit point of control (POC) at $644 on Monday. If it breaks through $630, look for a pop to POC. If it doesn’t pop, look for SHOP to drop to $600 and hit our downside targets at $585, $574, $555, and potentially $540.

AMD — At a massive inflection point at $99.23. Our downside target range is from $95 to $92. Ideally, look for a pop toward the $99 level. If AMD holds $99, this could be a dip buy to $102.

NVDA — Gapped down on Monday. See if NVDA reaches the $209 to $206 level that it has continued to bounce off of. If it pops toward $221 to $225, this could be a short opportunity. Above this range, our next target is $231.

To find out more about Simpler Day Trading and our open positions, click here.

Stay Focused!

 

The Multi-10x indicator has become a useful tool in our trading arsenal. This indicator has helped narrow down our focus list to only the cleanest setups.

Multi-10x (upgrade to the original 10x Bars) was created by Simpler Trading as a way to monitor trend quality and strength so that we can understand momentum better.

Let’s review one of my favorite swing trading indicators for gauging trend, structure, and momentum.

​​What are the Multi-10x bars?

The Multi-10x bars are calculated by underlying ADX and DMI indicators and put directly on the chart so the decision-making becomes instantly simpler. The bars are shown as either green, yellow, or red.

To break it down simply:

Green Multi-10x bars = bullish momentum is increasing

Yellow Multi-10x bars = momentum is neutral (no strong directional conviction)

Red Multi-10x bars = bearish momentum is increasing

 

 

In the image above, you can see green Multi-10x bars on the top left corner of the screen. This shows bullish momentum across multiple time frames: the monthly, weekly, 3-day, and daily time frames.

How do we use Multi-10x?

We want to trade in the direction the Multi-10x bars are signaling, as that implies the best probability of success to trade.

When it comes to yellow bars, we want to either avoid those setups or use non-directional strategies until a stronger conviction of direction is established. 

The Multi-10x bars complement the squeeze indicator as together they can confirm whether we want to stay in a trending stock or exit early.

Multi-10x versus original 10x Bars:

The original 10x Bars show colored bars that help identify trend direction and conviction quickly. This indicator is sold separately from the new Multi-10x. The Multi-10x indicator signals trend strength and direction in 18 different time frames shown as green, yellow, or red boxes at the top left corner of the chart. We can use this indicator to pinpoint entries in breakouts and to avoid “fake out” moves.

For more information on purchasing the 10x Bars or the Multi-10x indicator, click HERE. 

Settings:

Below you’ll see an example of the settings I have on the Multi-10x indicator. If you want to change the time frame, simply click the “period” options and choose the time frame you’re looking to add.

 

 

Example: 

Let’s take a look at an example of a clean setup that fits the bill of my trading criteria, specifically with positive momentum shown by the green 10x bars.

GOOGL Trade:

• Weekly chart has bullish structure
• Daily squeeze at the buy zone
• Stacked exponential moving averages (EMA)
• Green 10x bars show positive momentum

As technology started to regain bullish structure on its daily chart, GOOGL formed a beautiful daily squeeze that fit my criteria. On May 18, 2021, I sold an at-the-money (ATM) put credit spread while GOOGL set up in a daily squeeze. I sold the put credit spread, looking for GOOGL to ultimately fire the squeeze long and run to new all-time highs.

ENTRY 5/18

SOLD -25 VERTICAL GOOGL 100 18 JUN 21 2290/2270P @ 8.13

On June 4, 2021, I bought back my put credit spread for 75% of the max profit. Though the run to new highs didn’t quite unfold, the $100+ move I caught locked in 75% of the max profit on the spread. 

EXIT 6/04

BOT + 25 VERTICAL GOOGL 100 18 JUN 21 2290/2270P @ 2.04

The max loss on this trade was $28,675. The profit on this trade was $15,225.

 

 

Now that you know what the Multi-10x bars are and how to use them, we hope you can add these to your trading tools to get an additional edge. If you’d like a deeper dive into how I use the Multi-10x bars with my strategy, check out my Compounding Growth Technique four-hour strategy class.

Be sure to check out our Sunday weekly watchlist video for actionable setups that are supported by trend, structure, and momentum. 

 

 

Stay Focused!